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Will Stone's W Cost Obama The Election?


Back when Michael Moore released Fahrenheit 9/11 in the heart of the 2004 election cycle, the movie seemed to galvanize more Republicans against liberals than vice-versa. (Even the Dems started getting pissed off at him.) Is Oliver Stone's W in line to repeat the backlash and ruin Barack Obama's shot at the presidency?

The much-hyped (at least on the Internet) biopic about President George W. Bush is set to hit theaters in little over two weeks—just 19 days before the election. Stone shot it in just 46 days and spent only two months in post-production just to ensure that it would come out in time to see Bush out of office.

All the advance clips make the film look unbelievably campy and unintentionally hilarious, but Stone says "it's a comedy only in the sense of tragic comedy." Which is to say he expects the film to be taken seriously.

We asked around: It probably won't be. At least not by the people who already hate Bush, all of whom are gonna find it pretty difficult not to laugh at scenes like this:

But is there a chance that anyone will take it seriously? Does W have enough potential to rally the GOP base? Could Stone pull a Moore and actually hurt Obama? Or has Bush squandered so much goodwill at this point that it doesn't matter?

Here's what a group of leading conservative pundits had to tell Radar:

Lucianne Goldberg, Lucianne.com

As usual, Stone has his head up a very dark, damp place. No one wants to see, hear, read, or think about Bush anymore. The Bush drama is over. The ability of a Bush-bashing movie to even make a dent in the base is nil. It not a matter of Bush squandering goodwill, it's a matter of the entire subject boring people out of their minds.
Erick Erickson, editor, Red State
I don't think it matters much. I think the conservative movement, as a whole, is ready to move past Bush. Likewise, I think conservatives have come to expect Hollywood to do things like this. It's no more surprising than the string of failed anti-war films that came out over the summer.
John Hawkins, Right Wing News
Over the last eight years, Bush has been slandered, smeared, and attacked ferociously on a daily basis by the Democrats, the media, and Hollywood. One more lousy movie that will be lucky to bank $20 million in the U.S. probably isn't going to make much of a difference one way or the other after that.
So there you have it. Conservatives and liberals alike will probably just laugh at the movie. Kind of like Nixon.

A wave of sentiment for George Bush, based on a film by a notorious muckraker, that succeeds in rallying John McCain to victory makes as much sense as anything else these days you see when you put the newspaper in the birdcage.

Posted by: KarenUhOh on October 7, 2008 4:11 PM

Lucianne Goldberg is your source? Really? Wow.
Conservative pundit is one thing; deranged pedagogue another. When Lucianne Goldberg enters a room, the cockroaches turn out the lights. Not exactly the person to poll when you're looking to gauge tempered reactions.

Posted by: IBentMyWookie on October 7, 2008 7:00 PM

"it's a matter of the entire subject boring people out of their minds."...Really? Amazing. The exiting president, who started a war and financial debacle that will, at best haunt if not warp, mutilate, cripple and pretty much bring down an empire and it is dismissed as if it were a bad sitcom that didn't make it to week 13. Or maybe it is....

Posted by: SarahHeartburn on October 7, 2008 7:14 PM

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